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IBM Granite time-series ensemble sets a four-model default

The Die Brief Desk, after arxiv.org

The default recipe returns median and quantile forecasts from four Granite models, without retraining or fitted ensemble weights.

GIFT-Eval average rank comparison for both Granite ensembles and eligible reference systems. Lower is better. — Picture from huggingface.co
GIFT-Eval average rank comparison for both Granite ensembles and eligible reference systems. Lower is better. — Picture from huggingface.co
Granite Timeseries Ensemble
membersfour open Granite models
context_length1024
prediction_length24
quantile range0.1 to 0.9
nominal coverage80%
licensepermissively licensed
target columnOT
datasetETT-small ETTh1.csv

A Hugging Face page lists the default members as Granite PatchTST-FM-r1, Granite PatchTST-FM-r2, Granite FlowState-r1.1, and Granite TTM-r3.

The example installs granite-tsfm>=0.3.11, reads ETT-small ETTh1.csv, uses target column OT, context_length 1024, and prediction_length 24.

The stated limit is nominal 80% coverage for the central interval formed by the 0.1 and 0.9 quantiles.

The page does not measure actual coverage, GIFT-Eval rank, or error against reference systems.

For a buyer, the recipe narrows model selection and gives a probabilistic interface, but it does not prove that the ensemble beats a single strong baseline on a named workload.

The user must verify coverage and rank before treating the default as a performance guarantee.

The packet leaves out a specific benchmark score, training-data composition, and exact license identifier.

A later correction can add measured coverage, GIFT-Eval rank, or reference-system error without changing the recipe.

The default is a usable recipe, not a verified performance claim.

After arxiv.org. We did not report this. The pictures, if any, are theirs.

October 22, 2026 · 1 min
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