China's draft export catalog shifts open-weight model controls to deployment
The draft catalog draws the export line around local-server deployment rather than model size.

| 《中国禁止出口限制出口技术目录》 | |
|---|---|
| AI technologies | 23 |
| biomedicine technologies | 5 |
| solar technologies | 12 |
| total technologies | 40 |
| prohibited items | 14 |
| restricted items | 26 |
| announcement | No. 48 of 2026 |
A draft revision of China's prohibited and restricted export technology catalog came from the commerce and science ministries. The filing covers 40 technologies in AI, biomedicine, and solar, split into 14 prohibited and 26 restricted items.
The AI portion lists 23 items, from large models and agents to compute clusters and information processing.
The Decoder's page reports controls at 2 trillion parameters, 10^26 FLOPs, or a global top-10 rank. The official text omits those thresholds.
The Ministry of Commerce filing and its 23 AI items set the scope.
A foreign buyer or host that puts restricted Chinese model technology on local servers abroad becomes the constrained party, since that deployment falls under export management.
The document does not establish a bright line from parameter counts or training compute, so a buyer cannot use a size threshold to avoid licensing.
For a fab, the fast-track list is the useful number. Overseas chip tape-out, self-run data centers, and open-source releases receive automatic licensing, while local-server deployment does not.
The page leaves model-size and training-compute thresholds unmeasured. No parameter count, FLOP figure, or ranking rule appears in the text, leaving the reported cutoffs outside the document.
It also does not count how many existing overseas deployments would need registration under the draft.
The constrained party is a foreign host putting restricted Chinese model technology on local servers abroad, not a buyer using APIs or SaaS. The filing establishes a licensing boundary by deployment mode, but it does not establish the parameter or compute cutoffs reported by the wire.
The draft's operative boundary is deployment, not model size; the reported thresholds are unconfirmed by the official text.
After @deanwball. We did not report this. The pictures, if any, are theirs.

