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Memory & Packaging RUMOR

CXMT DRAM wafer capacity forecast climbs to 420,000 per month

The Die Brief Desk, after @pequityresearch

The step to 420,000 DRAM wafers per month is a consumer DRAM move, not an HBM answer.

Picture from wccftech.com
Picture from wccftech.com
CXMT DRAM
current monthly wafer capacity320,000
2027 monthly wafer capacity420,000
2028 monthly wafer capacity500,000 to 600,000
monthly addition100,000
2027 growth31%
2028 growth87.5%

Counterpoint Research and TrendForce put the current line at 320,000 wafers per month. The next step adds more than 100,000 wafers to that line.

The firms see a 2028 range of 500,000 to 600,000 wafers. That would make CXMT a second source for general-purpose DRAM.

Picture posted by @pequityresearch
Picture posted by @pequityresearch

If the Beijing line lands, CXMT can quote into the shortage without moving into stacked memory. The forecast does not show a fab schedule, equipment order, or price.

The 31% and 87.5% growth figures are forecasts, not measured wafer starts. The document leaves out the plant name, government support terms, Apple volume, process node, and HBM capacity.

The forecast is a capacity step, not proof of output, yield, or the timing of the Beijing plant.

After @pequityresearch. We did not report this. The pictures, if any, are theirs.

October 19, 2026 · 1 min
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